The Question That Destroyed A Campaign

Samuel Joseph Wurzelbacher has shot onto the national scene and captured (threatened?) an election with a simple question.  Before you believe all the hype in the chopped up videos from both sides you should check out the full video for yourself (it should be around 5 minutes).

Two significant issues have emerged from the now famous meeting with Joe.  First -most importantly- is how it highlights Obama’s tax plan.  Second, is the aftermath reaction to the now famous socialist slip.

OBAMA: …If your revenue is above 250…

The majority of people are missing the fact that Obama is talking about small business REVENUE not profit. Total sales before you pay your employees, rent, materials cost, etc… NOT the cash going into your pocket as the owner after you’ve paid all your bills.  I keep hearing people talk about $250k paychecks of these owners when that’s not what he’s talking about at all.  Just looking at the payroll expenses of a mom and pop whatever with more than 5-8 employees and you quickly exceed 250k.

OBAMA: …95% of small businesses make less than 250

Obama claims 95% of Small Biz will be unaffected (he really likes to reuse numbers since he also claims only 5% of individual’s taxes will go up) since they have a revenue of <$250k.  Does the Small Business Administration’s official government definition of what constitutes a small business agree?  In a word: NO.

The SBA caps different industries at various levels.  Some industries are defined by revenues and the max revenue you can make and still be “small” is between 750,000 – 35.5 Million dollars.  Other industries are capped by employees (100-1500) instead of revenues so we will have to do some payroll math. To stay under Obama’s magic 250 line workers could only earn $1.25/hr in industries that max out at 100 employees, while in industries where the cap is 1500 they could only be paid 8.3 cents an hour.

Now here’s a dirty secret that Obama doesn’t want you to realize: since the tax rate is based on revenues and not profit, it matters little how much the owner decides to take home at the end of the day.  But if expenses are going up in one area of the business they have to go down somewhere else (whither its to keep the boss’ paycheck the same or keep the company in the black)… The easiest place to cut expenses? That would be employee payroll.  So remember that when you’re voting to screw the rich SOB making over $250k… its really Joe employee that will take it on the chin.

Worse still than the truth about the Obama’s tax plan is the apparent reason for it that slipped out during the exchange:  Obama said that while he didn’t “want to punish your success” he did want to “spread the wealth around” because “it’s good for everybody.”  (everybody except those whose wealth is being spread around I suppose)

It’s this socialist slip that generated a firestorm aftermath aimed to distract voters from Obama’s answer by smearing the man who merely posed a are-you-going-to-raise-my-taxes question.  Some snippets from the news:

BRIAN WILLIAMS: (dramatic music) What do we know about this plumber named Joe?

JOHN BERMAN:  It doesn’t actually appear he’s a licensed plumber, and, it does appear there are some issues about past taxes.  There are records of a tax lean filed against Joe!

WYATT ANDREWS:  The man whose personal story steered a presidential debate over taxes, owes some $1,200 in back taxes.

DAVID “RODHAM” GERGEN:  When we found out he was Sam the Non-plumber, it changed a little bit. (snicker) Why the McCain team didn’t vet the guy…

ROLAND MARTIN:  Joe, you know, the fake plumber…

CHRISTOPHER HAYES:  There’s this tremendous gap between the mythical creature of Joe the Plumber and the actual real-life guy, and we see this time and time again.  Sarah Palin is a perfect example.

ANDERSON COOPER:  Joe is not actually a licensed plumber.  He admits he’s not making anywhere close to a quarter million.  His name is actually not Joe; at least that’s not his first name.  His name is Sam: Samuel Joseph Wurzelbacher.

My personal favorite is Anderson Cooper’s insinuation of the seediness of someone -gasp- that goes by their middle name! Many are now calling Joe a “McCain plant” which as Ed Morrissey points out is laughable:

 Someone has linked him to the long-deceased Charles Keating, suggesting that somehow Obama managed to pick a McCain plant out of a ropeline full of people by accident.

Really if you listen to Joe’s mid-exchange comment, you will correctly identify him as someone that is in favor of a flat/fair tax system not a well placed flunky.  Perhaps hoping a thoughtful question would increase the chances of a flat/fair tax system under Obama.  (Last time I check McCain couldn’t care less about a a flat or fair tax system.)

Obama & Biden both took stabs at Joe the would be plumbing business owner:

OBAMA: “How many plumbers you know that are making a quarter-million dollars a year?” (video-obama-mocks-joe-the-plumber-crowd-laughs)

Funny, I’m pretty sure that Obama understood (since he was there) that it was a plumbing business with revenues of over 250k… but this really just shows that Obama is intentionally trying to confuse the issue of business revenues verses “rich” people paychecks.

BIDEN: “I don’t have any Joe the Plumbers in my neighborhood…” (biden-video)

So is that an admission of Sen. Joe being healthily separated from the masses or a slam on Plumber Joe?..

One other insight:  Several people have tried to make Obama sound like Robin Hood.  But Robin didn’t steal from the rich and give to the poor, he stole from a corrupt government that over-taxed everyone resulting in everyone except government officials becoming poor and gave the tax money back to the people.

The truly interesting thing is that Obama doesn’t seem interested in distancing himself from the “spread the wealth around” philosophy – just attacking those who disagree with it.

Universal Health Care Fails After Just 7 Months

Hawaii is dropping the only state universal child health care program in the country just seven months after it launched. Gov. Linda Lingle’s administration cited budget shortfalls and other available health care options for eliminating funding for the program.

Universal Health Care expensive? Who could have forseen that? I mean, insurance costs were vastly different way back in -uhm- January when this program was setup… Officials were also shocked to learn that people were chosing free insurance over paying for it themselves:

A state official said families were dropping private coverage so their children would be eligible for the subsidized plan. “People who were already able to afford health care began to stop paying for it so they could get it for free,” said Dr. Kenny Fink, the administrator for Med-QUEST at the Department of Human Services. “I don’t believe that was the intent of the program.”

Now the best part is this: Even with the “cheating” going on by the people supporting the program with their tax dollars, only 2000 children were actually being covered by the state – and more half of the cost was actually being covered by the insurance company.  Meanwhile “experts” still estimate that 3-16,000 kids lacked health care amist a FREE universal program.  (i want a job where i get to just make up unverifiable numbers too!).  Now if the experts are wrong, we don’t actually have a problem – however – if they’re right, apparently U.H.C. did little to solve the problem while maxing out the budget.

Oblivious of the results of the program, Democratic Sen. Suzanne Chun Oakland spouted the following platitude:  “Children are a lot more vulnerable in terms of needing care”. I think the Senator should also mention that  “dumb people struggle more in school” and that “punching puppies is down right mean”.

Crazy Bugs Attack!

Somehow updating my google analytics module has broken all sorts of stuff.  LOTS of stuff that has nothing to do with that module?!?!?!

Most of my themes aren’t working but this one is mostly functional until i can figure out where to shove the magic smoke back in….

New Macs: Apple Tells Customers What They Want

mbp.jpgSo the latest and greatest Macs are fresh out of the oven, and I am impressed AND amused.  The new laptops added the “Centrino 2” processors that have been gracing Win/Linux lappies for the past several months, but that’s not the real story.

The Good:

  • A new process allows Apple to create cases out of solid blocks of aluminum.  This means a light weight and very sturdy design.  MacBooks lost a half pound!  (tho Pros are actually heavier somehow)
  • A glass track pad – no buttons (well physical buttons at least) and multi-gesture support (think iPhone).
  • Real graphics power.  MacBooks get nvidia 9400M a huge leap from crappy “integrated” graphics. Pros get a switchable 9400M / 9600M.  (Having the 9600M in my notebook I can tell you it will play any game at full settings and it can almost play Crysis at Medium)
  • The Air got a processor and storage boost making it slightly easier to justify it’s price

The Bad:

  • Steve Jobs called blu-ray a “bag of pain” (in his ass apparently) and therefore no one really needs to watch HD DVDs on their hip new rig since they can buy HD content off of itunes.  (yeah they went there)
  • Apple also said “HDMI is limited in resolution… for typical computer use, display port is the connector of the future.”  Too bad we all live in the present where everything has an HDMI connector. (nevermind only apple product use Display port)  But don’t worry you can still use DVI with an adapter… (what happened to the Apple minimalism in design here?)
  • Apple wants to you save electricity but computing in the dark… Apple is now only offering glossy screens (they claim there a matted glossy) and not matte.  Glossy screens give better colors for all your Photoshopin’ time, but also give a lot of glare in anything but ideal conditions.  Aside: Yes my lappie has a gloss screen and yes I’m sitting in the dark right now and yes i will only buy matte from here on out.

All in all it seems like the real winner is the MacBook.  It got lighter and better at the same price.  Now the main thing you add with the Pros is size and weight.  I mean sure 9400M graphics is more limited gaming wise than the 9600M but – lets be honest – it can still play any game currently available on the Mac.  And by the time today’s PC games are ported over to the Mac, it will be time for a new laptop anyway.

Government “Helps” Dow Find The Bottom

In an attempt to solve a problem created by government interference with the free market, the government has promised $700 Billion of additional “help” (minus a considerable amount of pork to get this “absolutely necessary” measure passed).   The market’s reaction? Sell, Sell, Sell! Apparently the greedy wall street bastards have less confidence in the government powers and promises then -well- the government’s own view.

The DJIA is not a perfect measure of the market but it’s an easy reference point.  Here are the closing of the Dow for the last few weeks:

Date Dow Change Notes
Mon, Sep 15, 08 10,917 The week before
Tue, Sep 16, 08 11,059 142
Wed, Sep 17, 08 10,609 -450
Thu, Sep 18, 08 11,019 410
Fri, Sep 19, 08 11,388 369
Mon, Sep 22, 08 11,015 -373
Tue, Sep 23, 08 10,854 -161
Wed, Sep 24, 08 10,825 -29 President Bush proposes $700B bailout
Thu, Sep 25, 08 11,022 197
Fri, Sep 26, 08 11,143 121 Democrats claim they have an agreement
Mon, Sep 29, 08 10,365 -778 House Republicans rejects first bill
Tue, Sep 30, 08 10,850 485
Wed, Oct 1, 08 10,831 -19 Senate passes revised bail out
Thu, Oct 2, 08 10,482 -349
Fri, Oct 3, 08 10,325 -157 House passes revised bail out; Bush signs
Mon, Oct 6, 08 9,955 -370
Tue, Oct 7, 08 9,447 -508
Wed, Oct 8, 08 9,258 -189
Thu, Oct 9, 08 8,579 -679
Fri, Oct 10, 08 8,451 -128

Note that in the week and a half before this “crisis” was declared such, the Dow dropped 92 points.  In the week and a half that the government displayed its competence at promising help without mentioning how we got here, the Dow dropped another 500 points.  And in the sole week since the ill-conceived  solution became law the Dow has plummeted another 1874 points.

How many billions will it cost tax payers to bail us out of this bail out?

UPDATE: Another week and the Dow has “recovered” to 8852.  Only another 2000 point gain is now needed to get us back where we started…